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Categories: Geoscience: Severe Weather, Mathematics: Modeling

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Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Can a computer tell patients how their multiple sclerosis will progress?      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Machine learning models can reliably inform clinicians about the disability progression of multiple sclerosis, according to a new study published this week in the open-access journal PLOS Digital Health by Edward De Brouwer of KU Leuven, Belgium, and colleagues.

Environmental: General Environmental: Water Geoscience: Earth Science Geoscience: Environmental Issues Geoscience: Geography Geoscience: Oceanography Geoscience: Severe Weather
Published

How Saharan dust regulates hurricane rainfall      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

New research underscores the close relationship between dust plumes transported from the Sahara Desert in Africa, and rainfall from tropical cyclones along the U.S. Gulf Coast and Florida.

Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Large language models don't behave like people, even though we may expect them to      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

People generalize to form beliefs about a large language model's performance based on what they've seen from past interactions. When an LLM is misaligned with a person's beliefs, even an extremely capable model may fail unexpectedly when deployed in a real-world situation.

Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Risks and benefits of integrating AI into medical decision-making      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Researchers found that an artificial intelligence (AI) model solved medical quiz questions -- designed to test health professionals' ability to diagnose patients based on clinical images and a brief text summary -- with high accuracy. However, physician-graders found the AI model made mistakes when describing images and explaining how its decision-making led to the correct answer.

Environmental: Ecosystems Environmental: General Environmental: Wildfires Geoscience: Earth Science Geoscience: Severe Weather
Published

Researchers enhance tool to better predict where and when wildfires will occur      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

A newly enhanced database is expected to help wildfire managers and scientists better predict where and when wildfires may occur by incorporating hundreds of additional factors that impact the ignition and spread of fire.

Mathematics: General Mathematics: Modeling
Published

There is mathematical proof in the pudding      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

In blockchain development, there is a rule of thumb that only two of scalability, security, and decentralization are valid simultaneously. However, the mathematical expression of that rule was still a work in progress. Researchers discovered a mathematical expression for the blockchain trilemma. In the formula for Proof of Work-based blockchains, including Bitcoin, the product of the three terms--scalability, security, and decentralization--is 1.

Computer Science: General Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Are AI-chatbots suitable for hospitals?      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Large language models may pass medical exams with flying colors but using them for diagnoses would currently be grossly negligent. Medical chatbots make hasty diagnoses, do not adhere to guidelines, and would put patients' lives at risk. A team has systematically investigated whether this form of artificial intelligence (AI) would be suitable for everyday clinical practice. Despite the current shortcomings, the researchers see potential in the technology. They have published a method that can be used to test the reliability of future medical chatbots.

Computer Science: General Environmental: Wildfires Geoscience: Severe Weather Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Scientists use AI to predict a wildfire's next move      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Researchers have developed a new model that combines generative AI and satellite data to accurately forecast wildfire spread.

Geoscience: Earth Science Geoscience: Geomagnetic Storms Geoscience: Severe Weather Space: Astronomy Space: Exploration Space: General Space: The Solar System
Published

New dawn for space storm alerts could help shield Earth's tech      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Space storms could soon be forecasted with greater accuracy than ever before thanks to a big leap forward in our understanding of exactly when a violent solar eruption may hit Earth. Scientists say it is now possible to predict the precise speed a coronal mass ejection (CME) is travelling at and when it will smash into our planet -- even before it has fully erupted from the Sun.

Environmental: General Geoscience: Environmental Issues Geoscience: Severe Weather
Published

Researchers predict fewer, pricier strawberries as temperatures warm      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Strawberries could be fewer and more expensive because of higher temperatures caused by climate change, according to new research.

Mathematics: Modeling
Published

How to assess a general-purpose AI model's reliability before it's deployed      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

A new technique estimates the reliability of a self-supervised foundation model, like those that power ChatGPT, without the need to know what task that model will be deployed on later.

Environmental: General Environmental: Water Geoscience: Environmental Issues Geoscience: Severe Weather Offbeat: Earth and Climate Offbeat: General
Published

Weather experts discover new effect of storm -- in a teacup      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

A new study reveals that Storm Ciaran cut an invisible path of mayhem across southern Britain last autumn, destroying any possibility that 20 million people could have a proper cup of tea at breakfast. The storm's record-breaking low pressure meant the boiling point of water was below the crucial 100 degrees Celsius required for a decent cuppa.

Computer Science: General Mathematics: Modeling Offbeat: Computers and Math Offbeat: General
Published

A new neural network makes decisions like a human would      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Researchers are training neural networks to make decisions more like humans would. This science of human decision-making is only just being applied to machine learning, but developing a neural network even closer to the actual human brain may make it more reliable, according to the researchers.

Computer Science: General Mathematics: Modeling Mathematics: Statistics
Published

When to trust an AI model      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

A new technique enables huge machine-learning models to efficiently generate more accurate quantifications of their uncertainty about certain predictions. This could help practitioners determine whether to trust the model when it is deployed in real-world settings.

Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Artificial intelligence speeds up heart scans, saving doctors' time, and could lead to better treatment for heart conditions      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Researchers have developed a groundbreaking method for analysing heart MRI scans with the help of artificial intelligence, which could save valuable time and resources, as well as improve care for patients.

Ecology: Nature Environmental: Ecosystems Environmental: General Geoscience: Severe Weather
Published

Planted mangroves' ability to store carbon      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Ecologists have published new findings on how planted mangroves can store up to 70% of carbon stock to that found in intact stands after only 20 years.

Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Researchers customize AI tools for digital pathology      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Scientists developed and tested new artificial intelligence (AI) tools tailored to digital pathology--a rapidly growing field that uses high-resolution digital images created from tissue samples to help diagnose disease and guide treatment.

Environmental: General Environmental: Water Geoscience: Earth Science Geoscience: Environmental Issues Geoscience: Geography Geoscience: Oceanography Geoscience: Severe Weather
Published

The Gulf Stream is wind-powered and could weaken from climate change      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

New evidence of changes to the Gulf Stream during the last ice age could indicate additional sensitivity to future climatic changes, finds a new study.

Computer Science: General Mathematics: Modeling
Published

Researchers introduce generative AI for databases      (via sciencedaily.com)     Original source 

Researchers have developed an easy-to-use tool that enables someone to perform complicated statistical analyses on tabular data using just a few keystrokes. Their method combines probabilistic AI models with the programming language SQL to provide faster and more accurate results than other methods.